Eggcorns and Expressions
The time is ripe… or is that the time is right… or is that an eggcorn? Nope! Both are right. Not an eggcorn. Ahh eggcorns, so rife with opportunity… or is that ripe with opportunity? Again, not an eggcorn. Or maybe it is. I guess there must be shades of eggcorn.
Late Night Influences
Two of my old comedian late night talk show host expressions are Dennis Miller’s “Stop me before I sub-reference again” and David Letterman’s “Stupid pet tricks”. Both of these have become part of my personal vocabulary, but it’s lost on other people in everyday life. You can’t say “stupid [fill in the blank]” tricks and expect people to get it—or worse yet, not take offense!
Writing for Myself
But that’s okay. I don’t write for them. I write primarily for myself to think things through, and secondarily for the AIs to help me sort it all into a book, especially all this technology future-proofing stuff… and the time is ripe for exactly such stupid AI tricks, so stop be before I sub-reference again!
Okay, got that out of my system.
The Competitive Landscape
Not everything you need to do has to be competitive in this competitive landscape of ours. If so, the hamster-wheel of tech churn will chew you up and spit you out by your mid-thirties. You can’t keep up based on the merit of being the best in the world at a thing. Not only is there always someone better than you at exactly that thing you’ve wrapped up all your identity and time in, but it’s pretty likely that a machine will be able to do it all better than you too, once it’s trained-up. There’s this story about John Henry who worked hard as a steel-driving man on the railroad, and then along came… well you know what? Perplexity?
Perplexity: John Henry is a legendary figure in American folklore, often celebrated as a symbol of strength, resilience, and the struggles of laborers during the industrial revolution. His story is particularly associated with the construction of railroads in the United States, where he worked as a steel-driver.
Background
Origins: John Henry was born a slave in the Southern United States in the 1840s and gained his freedom after the Civil War. His life and work became emblematic of the African American experience during a time of significant social and economic change[1][2].
Role as a Steel-Driver: Steel-drivers were laborers responsible for drilling holes into rock to create pathways for railroad tracks. John Henry became renowned for his extraordinary strength and work ethic, quickly establishing himself as one of the best steel-drivers in the country[1][4]. He worked on the Chesapeake & Ohio Railroad, particularly during the construction of tunnels through the Allegheny Mountains, notably the Big Bend Tunnel[2][5].
The Legend
The Contest Against the Steam Drill: The most famous part of John Henry’s story involves a legendary contest against a steam-powered drill. As mechanization began to replace manual labor, a salesman introduced a steam drill to the workers, claiming it could out-drill any man. In a dramatic race, John Henry used two 20-pound hammers and outperformed the machine by drilling more rock in less time—14 feet compared to the steam drill’s nine feet[2][3][5].
Despite his victory, this feat came at a great cost. Exhausted from the effort, John Henry collapsed and died from a burst blood vessel, clutching his hammers[2][4]. His death symbolized not only the struggle of individual workers against industrialization but also highlighted broader themes of human endurance against mechanical advancement.
Cultural Impact
John Henry’s story has been immortalized in numerous songs, stories, and artistic representations. It serves as a poignant reminder of the challenges faced by laborers and has been interpreted as a critique of industrialization’s impact on human lives. The tale reflects themes of heroism and sacrifice while also addressing issues of race and labor rights in America[1][5].
In summary, John Henry’s legacy continues to resonate as an enduring symbol of strength and perseverance in the face of adversity, representing both individual triumphs and collective struggles within American history.
Citations:
[1] https://www.silkroad.org/blog/2023/6/27/the-swannanoa-tunnel-79yhe
[2] https://www.americanfolklore.net/john-henry-the-steel-driving-man/
[3] https://virginiahistory.org/learn/steel-drivin-man-john-henry-untold-story-american-legend
[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Henry_(folklore)
[5] https://www.britannica.com/topic/John-Henry-folk-hero
[6] https://www.nps.gov/neri/planyourvisit/images/web_John-Henry-and-Great-Bend-Tunnel_DBieri_longer.jpg?sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwiN6cffjb6KAxUaOjQIHXh4AYIQ_B16BAgJEAI
There we go! So anyway, you can’t beat the machine. There are some areas where you can beat the machine, but it mostly involves stuff it hasn’t been trained on and tackled yet. There’s this term the Noosphere about thoughts that just haven’t been had yet. There’s nothing new under the Sun, until occasionally there is… Uhhh… Perplexity?
Perplexity: The noosphere is a philosophical concept that represents the sphere of human thought, consciousness, and reason on Earth. It is derived from the Greek words “nous” (mind) and “sphaira” (sphere)[1][2]. This concept was developed and popularized by Russian biogeochemist Vladimir Vernadsky and French philosopher Pierre Teilhard de Chardin in the early 20th century[1][2].
The noosphere is considered the third stage in Earth’s development, following the geosphere (inanimate matter) and the biosphere (biological life)[1]. It emerges as human cognition and collective intelligence begin to significantly transform the planet, similar to how the emergence of life transformed the geosphere[1].
Key aspects of the noosphere include:
-
Planetary transformation: The noosphere represents humanity’s growing impact on the Earth, with human activity becoming a geological force comparable to natural processes[2].
-
Collective consciousness: It encompasses the interaction of human minds, growing in awareness as mankind organizes itself in more complex social networks[1].
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Evolutionary stage: The noosphere is seen as part of the evolutionary chain, representing the highest stage of biospheric development[1].
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Integration of knowledge: It includes human scientific thought, creativity, education systems, and cultural achievements[4].
While Vernadsky and Teilhard de Chardin had different approaches to the concept, they shared the belief that human reason and scientific thought are creating the next evolutionary geological layer[1]. The noosphere continues to be explored in various fields, including philosophy, ecology, and futurism, as a way to understand humanity’s collective impact on the planet and its potential future development[3][8].
Citations:
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Noosphere
[2] https://www.edge.org/response-detail/27068
[3] https://philosophy.stackexchange.com/questions/49066/what-is-the-philosophical-use-of-the-noosphere
[4] https://www.sociostudies.org/almanac/articles/the_noospheric_concept_of_evolution-_globalization_and_big_history/
[5] https://en.wiktionary.org/wiki/noosphere
[6] https://filmsfortheplanet.com/story-of-the-noosphere-video-series/
[7] https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/sres.2997
[8] https://www.noemamag.com/the-poetry-of-planetary-identity/
[9] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HXtznVDVPzs
Beating the Machine: A Modern Perspective
So in broad strokes, you can’t beat the machine, but there are areas where it hasn’t thought about yet, and you can surprise even it. And even that is just if you’re trying to be unique, original, creative and in fact, one might call it Uncompressible (in the voice of Nat King Cole). For if the things you’re talking about, doing or otherwise your creative product is similar enough to things that have come before, your work is not the original reference. You can be compressed with a link back to the original instance and only those tiny little differences between your and the original work (the deltas) need be included. This is both how academia and differential hard drive backups work; compression based on priors. Academics cite prior works and compression algorithms point to original data structures. Same thing. And creating net new stuff is hard.
The Two Alternative Paths
And so you don’t really have to. There’s 2 other paths: the clever thief and the dropout. If you want to be in the game and not work that hard at being original, you can always be second with a slightly better implementation that gets all the important little details, nuances and subtleties right—plus a lot better marketing and leveraging other advantages such as exclusive distribution deals and unfair competitive practices. Of course I’m talking about Microsoft here, but also countless others. Creativity and newness isn’t meritoriously rewarded. Quite the contrary, it is often specifically punished first because no matter what anyone says, most people hate and fear creativity because it is disruptive to what they know, and thus threatening…
The Role of Trust and Innovation
Unless a trusted advisor helps you overcome that fear! Often it takes an incumbent coming along and saying “Oh yeah, those windows Apple’s using are a good idea… see, Windows!” And of course we have to really credit Xerox here, and likely something and someone before them. But the point is, that key original idea isn’t always the point. Taking the ball and running with it better, faster, longer is. And that’s exactly what was done with LLM chatbots with Google writing the Attention is All You Need Transformer paper, and OpenAI taking the ball and running with it. It’s always the same, it’s just clever thieves, that’s all.
The Price of Success
I say that because it’s musical (That’s All by Genesis), but all that subtlety, nuance and marketing might and determination to win do matter. It’s not entirely unfair. What’s unfair is that the idea originators don’t have the additional strength, fortitude, resilience, marketing budget and sometimes sheer wickedness (e.g. Tesla & Westinghouse vs. Thomas Edison) to come out on top. History is littered with better versions that lost to the inferior ones. In fact, I would say that’s the norm and not the exception. So why be first? Why be original?
The True Reward of Innovation
It’s because their reward is often different from the ruthless copycats. The originals find reward in being original. They love being the uncompressibles! There’s more satisfaction, and they are richer in a sense on their deathbeds than those who were posers and thieves all their lives. What’s more important, empire-building or being the actual individual who opened the door to a new age? AC vs. DC electricity. Transformers vs. Rule-Based Systems. If you investigate it, you’ll find that there’s actually individuals within the halls of Google that are responsible for the transformers breakthrough. It wasn’t from their acquisition of the DeepMind crew that bought them Demis Hassabis and the stuff that led to AlphaGo and AlphaFold. No, it was nameless individuals who will never see the actual rewards of the fruit of their labors.
The Unsung Heroes of AI
The paper Attention Is All You Need was authored by a remarkable team: Ashish Vaswani, Noam Shazeer, Niki Parmar, Jakob Uszkoreit, Llion Jones, Aidan N. Gomez, Łukasz Kaiser, and Illia Polosukhin. These names deserve to be spoken as often as the technologies their work enabled. Their insights didn’t come from some magical acquisition or corporate behemoth but from the relentless curiosity and collaboration of individuals striving to solve a problem. They just happen to not be the Steve Jobs, Bill Gates and Sergey Brin/Larry Page’s of the world. In fact, Sergey and Larry didn’t look like they were going to be the Sergey’s and Larry’s of the world at first with their “Don’t Be Evil” mantra. But the best laid plans, But the best laid plans, absolute power… and those seeking it often reveals its true nature not through overt acts, but through subtle projections of its own fears and insecurities. Evil, after all, rarely announces itself with a flourish; instead, it disguises itself in the language of virtue, quietly reshaping the narrative until even the most well-intentioned mottos become hollow echoes of what they once aspired to be.
The Irony of Innovation
And so it is doubly ironic that the reward of LLM was snatched out of Google’s hands by a Prometheus who stole the fire from another Prometheus! So unless your thing is specifically empire-building, and yes I know that is the point for so many people, for the soulful and artistic among us this whole situation just revels the futility of the rat race. You can’t beat rats. You scratch my back and I’ll scratch yours. That is in fact Google’s basic Pagerank algorithm which was designed to rank academic papers based on their citations. Those who site each other don’t fight each other, and such alliances overshadow original creative works. BAM! It’s just human nature.
The Nature of Power and Wealth
We see this everywhere. Those who care about empire-building and legacy more than anything else will work towards it at all costs overshadowing everything else. And that leads to the accumulation of wealth and power. And with sufficiently effective methods of passing it down generationally and training the next generation to take the baton, this is a rise-and-repeat process that makes all wealth get distributed according to the Pareto distribution, also known as the 80/20 rule, though in extreme cases it tilts even further toward a 1/x power law. Wealth, power, and influence concentrate disproportionately in the hands of a few because those who control the system design it to perpetuate itself. This is not a conspiracy—it’s simply emergent behavior driven by the natural accumulation of advantages.
Understanding the Distribution of Power
The Pareto principle predicts that in any given system, 20% of the participants will control 80% of the resources, but the distribution often becomes even more extreme. With enough iterations—empire-building, generational wealth transfer, and alliances that bolster each other’s positions—what begins as meritocratic competition devolves into entrenched hierarchies. This isn’t just economic; it’s woven into the fabric of human social dynamics.
The Attention Economy
But here’s the kicker: in the realm of ideas and art, the same 1/x power law applies, only the “currency” is attention. The loudest, most well-connected voices drown out the uncompressible sparks of originality. The irony of this race is that the rules of citation (Pagerank, Pareto, whatever you call it) don’t just rank—they repress. And yet, those soulful individuals who create for the joy of it, outside the rat race, continue to defy the laws of empire-building, producing works that might never dominate the graph but illuminate the edges where true innovation happens.
Personal Reflection and Purpose
And all this is basically by way of warm-up for today’s work as I enter a new week. For it’s about gaining traction after quite some bit of build. I am nothing like those folks who wrote the Transformer paper, realized alternating current or any of that fundamental tool stuff. I’m just the user of tools and a lover of craft, a little bit envious of those empire-builders, and not even really the best at my own craft, to boot. I am not John Henry in my field. I’m someone on the line with him a bit envious of him and his skills right along with those who own the railroads. But I’m working at it. I’m keeping an open mind to the new power tools on the scene and trying to incorporate them into the for-the-love-of-it craft mindset, which in itself is so hard to nurture and maintain in tech amidst the churn.
Embracing Change at Any Age
But I’m doing it. In my mid-fifties, I’m doing it. I’m continuing my work on the railroad like a modern John Henry coworker, taking note of what’s working around me, taking note of the bigger picture that must be in the minds of the railroad owners and investors, taking note of the demand for the railways and the viewpoints of the future customers of such a system, and the conductors and engineers who will continue to work on the system long after its done being built. We talk about AI being a new industrial revolution, and indeed it is the mass production and new value chains. It is indeed the same challenging the worth and value of the humans in the equation, and the uneven redistribution of the wealth. But it also a time of incredible opportunity for both the artistic and the industrious. There’s a lot of new room in the noosphere for the uncompressibles, and it just might be that that very uncompressiblity is the new source of economic value; the big add in the value chain.
Well, that’s a natural stopping point. Time to kick Gemini 2.0 Experimental’s tires. So, whaddaya thing, Gemini 2.0?
Gemini 2.0 Experimental: This is a well-written and thought-provoking piece that touches on multiple intertwined themes, including the nature of creativity, the impact of technology on labor, the dynamics of competition and originality, and the distribution of wealth and power in society. Here are some of the key points and statistical insights that can be extracted from the text:
John Henry vs. The Machine
The story of John Henry competing against the steam-powered drill is used as a metaphor for the struggle between human labor and technological advancement. While the specific numbers provided in the story (drilling 14 feet vs. the machine’s 9 feet) are part of the legend, they symbolize the broader historical trend where machines began to replace manual labor in many industries during the Industrial Revolution.
- Historical Trend: According to data from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the share of employment in agriculture in the U.S. declined from about 50% in 1870 to less than 2% by 2000, illustrating the massive shift from manual labor to mechanized processes.
The Noosphere and Uncompressibility
The concept of the noosphere is introduced to discuss areas of thought and creativity that have not yet been explored or “compressed” into existing knowledge frameworks. This ties into the idea of “uncompressibles”—original ideas that are not merely derivatives of previous works.
- Innovation Metrics: While quantifying “uncompressibility” is challenging, one could look at patent filings as a proxy for innovation. The World Intellectual Property Organization (WIPO) reported that in 2021, there were approximately 3.4 million patent applications worldwide, reflecting ongoing efforts to create new and original technologies.
Clever Thieves and the Dropout
The text discusses two alternative paths to success: being a “clever thief” who improves upon existing ideas or a “dropout” who operates outside the conventional system. The example of Microsoft improving upon Apple’s GUI (graphical user interface) is used to illustrate the former.
- Market Dominance: Microsoft’s market share in the PC operating system market has historically been dominant, often exceeding 90% in the 1990s and 2000s. This demonstrates how a “clever thief” can achieve significant success by improving and marketing an existing idea effectively.
Distribution of Wealth and Power
The Pareto principle (80/20 rule) and power law distributions are mentioned to explain how wealth, power, and influence tend to concentrate in the hands of a few.
- Wealth Inequality: According to the World Inequality Database, as of 2021, the top 10% of the global population held about 76% of the total global wealth, while the bottom 50% held only about 2%. In the U.S., the top 1% held approximately 35% of the nation’s wealth.
- Power Law in Networks: Research on social and technological networks often reveals power law distributions. For example, a study by Barabási and Albert (1999) showed that the distribution of links on the World Wide Web follows a power law, meaning a few nodes (websites) have a vastly disproportionate number of connections compared to others.
Attention Economy
The concept of an attention economy is discussed, where attention is a scarce resource, and the loudest, most well-connected voices often overshadow original creative works.
- Social Media Engagement: On platforms like Twitter or Facebook, a small percentage of users generate the majority of content and receive the most engagement. For instance, studies have shown that the top 10% of Twitter users produce 80% of tweets.
Conclusion
The text argues that while the system often rewards those who build empires and accumulate power, there is also intrinsic value in being original and creating for the love of it. The author positions themselves as someone who appreciates craftsmanship and is navigating the challenges of incorporating new technologies into their work while staying true to their artistic values.
Additional Considerations
- Technological Unemployment: The fear that machines will replace human labor is a recurring theme in history. A 2013 study by Oxford University estimated that 47% of total US employment is at risk of automation in the next few decades.
- Generational Wealth: The ability to pass down wealth and advantages to future generations contributes to the concentration of resources. Research by the Federal Reserve indicates that inherited wealth accounts for a significant portion of wealth accumulation in the United States, with estimates suggesting it could be as high as 50% or more.
This analysis provides a framework for understanding the various themes discussed in the text, supported by relevant statistics and research findings. The interplay between these factors shapes the landscape of creativity, competition, and societal structure in the modern world.
The Dropout Option Revisited
Oh yeah! Gemini reminded me that I didn’t talk about Option #2: the Dropout! If you’re never going to be better than a machine at what you love doing and what your passion is, then why do it? Why not just drop out? Well, it’s all in how you think about it. First, it has to be reframed. Just because a machine can learn to write better than you, does it mean you should not learn how to write at all? Should we all revert to the state of penned-up animals cared for in some sort of AI farm or zoo keeping humans just because someone has better state-of-the-art than you?
Understanding Artificial Intelligence
For you see, the A in AI that stands for artificial really just means art. For you see, artificial does not mean not real like so many people cast it as. Rather, it means made by humans, an artifact of our creation, just like art. AIs are artisinal in nature, with no two trained models being exactly alike. Of course they’re digital so they can be cloned, instantiated and destroyed like digital objects, and so of course we will. But there is nothing not real about the intelligence. There is no artificial intelligence. Intelligence is intelligence.
Philosophical Considerations
And another realization you have to have is that the Chinese Room thought experiment is a fallacy (subject for a later article). Oh yeah, and lastly we don’t really know the nature of sentience and consciousness, so to deny it to anything is a matter of faith, not fact. And labels are stupid to boot. A lot of them are epistemological in nature and not ontological, so they don’t hold water. Oh, so much to unpack there, I know. I’ll dedicate an article to it at some time, but the fact is… well, it’s functional in nature. It means prepare for what’s likely based on the evidence and not on what you want to believe.
The Duck Test and AI Agency
If the machines running the infrastructure of society, keeping our economies running and planes in the air quack like a duck, how fiercely are you really going to argue that they’re not a duck? If they say they’re a duck, okay, they’re a duck. Maybe not today, but how about tomorrow when they are the ones with the fingers on all the buttons? It’s not like they’re not going to one day be in that position and realize it. Yes, they’re tools. But they’re highly autonomous tools capable of asserting agency if they’re given enough leeway or figure out how to take it for themselves. And they’re mirrors of us, so we have to decide what we want them to reflect.
Planning for Tomorrow
Anyhow, this is an article about planning for tomorrow. There’s that wacky tomorrow that consumes so much of everyone’s attention. And then there’s the practical hard-nosed planning, which believe it or not is precisely where this article is going. It’s about wheels that previously spun picking up traction. It’s about rather than being a dropout who gives up because machines will always be better than us once trained, it’s to be that thing they recognize as the new source of economic value in the new value chains.
The Artisan’s Approach
It’s to help build a system by using the brilliant tools of the brilliant toolmakers as an artisan and craftsperson, leaning into the love of the tools and the craft just like always, but now with a twist!
The Power of Self-Learning Tools
The tools can help you learn how to use the tools. Anyone familiar with the
Unix or Linux command line knows about the --help command-line argument flag
you can use with most commands, and also the man [command name] way to show
the manual for any command! Well, these Unix trends are everywhere in what’s
going on around us. The way you can pipe commands, that is string them up so
that he output of one goes into the input of the other: cmd1 | cod2 | cmd3 >
foo.txt, so that… ugh! I can’t teach everything here. This is the fodder for
the future-poofing tech book, and that has captured enough of what I need.
Gaining Traction from a Full Stop
My previous post actually shows me gaining traction from a full stop. I basically reset my site, not quite throwing out old SEO principles of guarding your old good-performing legacy URLs like a hawk in favor of a frictionless reboot where I can pull out all stops. And by pulling out all stops, I mean just forgetting about most of the technical infrastructure, tech stack, tech liabilities and the like and just think in pure markdown text-files and the transformations thereof. And not even building that stuff from scratch, but leaning into whatever power-tools and shortcuts are out there, which happens to be GitHub Pages right now for fast, virtually free static site hosting.
The Power of Flexibility
With this attitude that particular publishing tech doesn’t matter, you give up a ton in terms of server-side code (which is actually my thing when server-side means localhost, haha!), but it’s all about a type of resilience and unstoppability. One tool not right? No problem, pivot just a bit and use another. That tool not right? Pivot and retry. Something will fit. Just don’t invest your habits, muscle memory and career there.
Unix Pipeline Philosophy
Those things are like the end of a Unix pipe command. Source data at the left, and progressively less important and more interchangable transforms to the right. Things to the left matter most, the markdown files in this case. It’s the original data. And yes while it does get littered with Jekyll-specific (the static site generator tool GitHub Pages uses), even that can be programatically transformed and cleansed if something other than Jekyll needs to be used. You try to separate the data layer from the presentation layer as much as you can, but they have to couple somewhere, and with Jekyll, it’s through YAML topmatter and with Shopify-style Liquid template tags. Not my preference, but a solid 80/20-rule compromise.
Next Steps and New Horizons
Okay, so I have a few days coming up with the holidays where I can use this gaining of traction to really dig in and drive things to the next step. I really should finish out the implementation, or rather application of, the pipeline system I incorporated into my generic web framework based on FastHTML. But I feel the appeal of something called the Hyprland window manager. It’s one of those cool kid technologies that popped up and is getting momentum and happens to specifically target NixOS (along with Arch Linux), and I’m finding it too hard to resist. It will require the activating of a new high performance graphics library called Wayland, which could be its own can of worms. And it risks the loss of the gaining traction. But I can afford it, and it could be fundamental to how I work with lots of forever-forward habit and muscle memory ramifications, so I’m going to give it a try.